How to Use the Stop at a Winner Horse Racing System and Why You Should Use It
Many betters like to follow their favorite jockey, but even glance at the jockeys table shows that very few jockeys show a level stakes profit on their rides. Clearly in order to succeed a system backing jockeys needs to be linked with some other sound basis of selection, the most obvious being the form of the horses that the jockey will be riding.

Selection method - this will only work at one meeting at a time so if you are not at the track it is suggested that you concentrate on the principle meeting of the day.
Go through the entire race programme and note the jockey who is riding the most horses, which were winner's last time out. This is the jockey that you will be following today
If there is more than one jockey tying for selection you select the jockey who is currently the highest in the jockey's championship table at the present time.
You can place the bet in some bookmakers on each of the jockey's mounts by filling in the slip as follows-
2.00 Newmarket L Dettori's mount 1.00 win
2.30 Newmarket L Dettori's mount 2.00 win
3.00 Newmarket L Dettori's mount 3.00 win
3.30 Newmarket L Detorri's mount 4.00 win
4.00 Newmarket L Dettori's mount 5.00 win
4.30 Newmarket L Dettori's mount 6.00 win
STOP AT A WINNER
The staking method used in the above example is a simple but effective one where the stake is increased by 1 point after a loss. A point could be any amount of money you feel comfortable to bet with.
You must put your selected jockey down for all races on the programme is even if he is not down to ride in one or more races
Paul Coleman is a professional horse racing form expert. Paul runs Horse Racing Confidential tipping service: http://www.racing-confidential.co.uk, and supplies extensive betting advice and free tips, systems, reviews, etc, at his fully active Blog: http://www.horseracing-confidential.blogspot.com.
Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Paul_John_Coleman

13 things not to do at the races - followed by 8 things to do!

1. Don't bet after heavy drinking

2. Don't bet after heavy rain

3. Don't bet on races with little exposed form

4. Don't bet if your horse has a bad draw in a sprint race

5. Don't try to chase your losses

6. Don't think you have to have a bet in every race

7. Don't back trainers and jockeys out of form

8. Don't back horses that have not had a recent run

9. Don,t use just one bookmaker. Check all prices on offer including the tote

10. Don't take your credit card to the races. Set aside a separate betting bank

11. Don't forget to check the paddock to make sure your horse is fit

12. Don't forget to complie your own betting forecast and only bet if you find value odds on your chosen selection

13. Don't forget to keep multiple bets to a minimum and if you must keep stakes low.

Some things you should do at the races

1. Pay particular attention to C+D winners

2. In big handicap races rather than back 1 horse each way back 2 or even 3 horses

3. Make sure your selection acts on the going

4. Keep an eye on tony mccoys mounts during the summer NH season. He is even better in the summer season

5. Take note of heavily backed horses at the big meeetings (especially if they have halved in price)

6. Always keep a record of you bets. We can provide you with results sheets if you need them. Just ask and we will provide them for free

7. Stick to unravelling 2 or 3 races a day rather than than trying to plough through the form of every race.

8. Remember no bet is a certainty

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STRATERGIES TO IMPROVE YOUR FOOTBALL BETTING OVERNIGHT

Generating an additional income from soccer betting can be similar to any money making venture because many people tend to fail or give up during the first few months but if more bettors were able to adopt a long term strategy then success would probably follow.

You should also constantly update your knowledge about team lineups and key players if you are to be successful in soccer betting. Going through news reports on soccer games and getting to know about injuries to key players, are for instance a must if you want to make money by betting on football games.

Anyone who finds the idea of earning an income from soccer betting appealing should be aware that to give you the best possible chance of long term success a clearly defined time period should be dedicated to the venture as well as having a betting bank in place.

The form of a soccer team is all about swings and roundabouts. As well as looking for teams in good form, you can also make money by monitoring those playing poorly. A bad run of form will come to an end at some point. The trick is attempting to weigh all the evidence up when the signs point to a positive result.

Another way is subscribing to a specialist soccer betting tips service that sends selections on a regular basis. This option is ideal for those who do not have the time to analyze past results and current form as well as the forthcoming fixture lists themselves. When you join a service such as Football Confidential after you receive the recommendations all you have to do is act upon the information and place the bets.

Bet Confidential - Our job is to make your betting easier.

P.S Scroll to the bottom for for this months Quick Tip

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  Trainer's - Never underestimate the power of a trainer hitting form. When trainers hit a run of winners not only do their short priced horses win but some of their outsiders win also.
  
  How to tell if a trainer is in form? - Check out the hot trainers section in the Daily Mail Newspapers horse racing section. Follow Any trainer with a better than 33% strike rate of winners. This is a fantastic section of the paper that is updated daily so you are always on the hot trainers!!
  
  
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Back The Underdog To Make Big Profits From Football Betting!!

Good profits can be made in football by backing the underdog.

Many premiership teams do not take the league cup that serious especially in the earlier rounds, and field weaker teams.

For example this week in the league cup Burnley were a massive 16/1 to beat chelsea.

Bookmakers knew that money would come in for Chelsea and the odds were slashed to 1/6. This left a very good value bet on Burnley.

This tactic can work well in any sport especially when any English team are playing in Europe.

The underdog can sometimes pull out all stops and perform above their usual ability.

Of couse longer loosing runs will occur but with the bigger odds you will get in front in the long run.

P.S Even bigger prices could be available on the exchanges!

How to use psychology to become a successful gambler

1. You must have confidence in your selections.

2. Do not chase your losses. There is always another day.

3. Cut out interest bets. Only bet to make money.

4. Try to specialise in one area. This way you can get an edge over bookmakers.

5.Try to get value odds in your bets.

Football Confidential latest results for Sat 26th July 2008
4 winners from 6 bets - Profit of 9.41 points
Saturday Trixie bet wins again for the 5th time in six weeks!!

Full details of membership>>> http://www.bet-confidential.co.uk/

"You must fish out the value for consistent profits each week!!"

Football Confidential
"footballs best kept secret"

How to ValueBet
Most football match prediction I utilises uses a points rating scheme. The number of points which a team is awarded is dependent upon the outcome of previous matches involving that team. More points are awarded for previous match victories than for draws or losses. Sometimes points are awarded on the basis of other match statistics, most usually goals scored and conceded, but also shots on goal, corners or any other data that the punter considers relevant to the development of a rating system. A higher team points rating means a greater team winning potential for a forthcoming league match.

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By comparing the winning potential of opposing teams, an assessment can be made of the likely outcome of the match. Rather than making a specific prediction, however, the outcome of a match is expressed in the form of a probability distribution. Consider, for example, a match between Manchester Utd. (home) and Arsenal (away). Using the described methodology, we might arrive at the following probability distribution for the three possible match outcomes:

Manchester Utd. vs. Arsenal:Probability Distribution
Home Win 55%
Draw 25%
Away Win 20%

On its own, this probability distribution does not tell us very much other than the most likely outcome of this match is a Home Win for Manchester Utd. However, given that the average probability distribution of league match outcomes is 46% home win, 27% draw, 27% away win (for English league matches), it is far from clear that betting on a Manchester Utd. victory makes good betting sense. To utilise this match information in a meaningful way, we need to have a look at what betting odds are being offered by the bookmaker.

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Days before , bookmakers will set the betting odds for matchs.Highstreet bookmakers have printed coupons for the coming weekend's matches. These are known as the fixed odds coupons, because once set in print they cannot be changed without considerable expense to the bookmaker. More recently, online bookmakers have begun offering fixed odds for football matches. Many online bookmakers no longer restrict the punter to minimum trebles (i.e. predicting the outcome of at least three matches) like the traditional highstreet bookmakers. Punters can now bet on individual matches. Such bets are called singles.

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As try to calculate the home win - draw - away win probability distribution for a match, the bookmaker also sets his odds according to how he believes the match will be decided. If he believes a home win is more likely to occur than an away win or a draw, he will shorten the home win odds accordingly. A possible set of fixed odds for the match between Manchester Utd. and Arsenal is shown below.

Bookmaker's Odds
Win Odds 4/6
Odds9/4
away Odds3/1

The first row expresses the odds in fractional notation, whilst the second row expresses the odds in decimal notation. In the first case, odds of 9/4 for the draw mean that for every four units staked, nine will be won if the bet is successful. In the second case, 3.25 is the total return from a one-unit stake, including the initial stake.
If we calculate the inverse of the decimal odds, we can determine the bookmaker's estimated home win - draw - away win probability distribution, as shown below.
Bookmaker's Probability Distribution
Home Win
Away Win
Total
60%
31%
25%
116%

Why does the total come to more than 100%? While there can be no greater than 100% certainty of an event taking place, this excess in the probability value is a useful measure of a bookmaker's profit margin. The bookmaker artificially shortens the odds for a particular match outcome, or conversely increases the estimated probability of a match outcome. Consequently, the odds offered for the match by the bookmaker are not true odds or fair odds. You cannot bet on all three match outcomes at one bookmaker and expect to win. The difference in price between fair odds and the bookmaker's odds is called the over-round. It is through the over-round that the bookmaker earns his living. In this particular example, the over-round is 1.16 or 16%. Typically, online bookmakers' over-rounds vary between 1.10 and 1.20 for single bets.

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If the bookmaker's odds are unfair odds and weighted in their favour, you may ask how is it possible to make money from fixed odds betting? Beating the bookmaker is indeed a formidable task, but through the application of a tested forecasting system and betting strategy, it is possible to gain an edge over them. The points rating system described above can be used to gain this edge, via careful match selection and the endorsement of the principles of value betting.

Value Betting
Let us return to the estimated probaility distribution for match outcomes for the game between Manchester Utd. and Arsenal. According to our points rating system, Manchester Utd. has a 55% chance of winning. Fair odds for the result would be 1/0.55 or 1.82. The bookmaker, however, has offered odds of 1.67. Consequently, we believe that the bookmaker's odds are too short to represent value.
However, let us suppose that an improved rating system estimates the probability of the home win to be 65%. The fair odds (according to our new system) would be 1.54. Consequently, a bet with the bookmakers at 1.67 would represent a value bet. To summarise, if the odds given by the bookmaker are superior to your estimated odds, you have identified a value bet.

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Value is knowing the accuracy of your percentage distribution (for match outcomes). Before any match selection strategy is employed for the purposes of betting, it should be tested by analysing past forecasting rates and profit margins. Football-Data exists precisely for this reason - to supply match results and odds data for the testing of simple 1X2 (home/draw/away) betting systems. In addition, to successfully make money through value betting you must be patient.

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As a result of the bookmaker's over-round, only a small proportion of bets will offer value. Furthermore, not every bet placed will win, and you should avoid quitting after a losing streak. In the long run, if the betting system is based upon sound mathematical principles and informed judgement, it will eventually yield a profit.

Chosing a Bookie
Just as important as considering the type of bet to place is knowing where to place the bet. With a growing number of on-line bookmakers available, it is possible to be selective in finding the best value odds. Obviously, higher odds means better value. A number of websites provide odds comparisons for many bookmakers.

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applying the theory of value betting, it is possible to gain an edge over the bookmaker, despite his considerable profit margin or over-round. Football-Confidential encourages he punter to develop an analytical and systematic approach to football betting.

Dont panic though if you simply have not the time for such calculations thats exactly why I formed Football Confidential to help the average punter gain an edge over the bookmaker.

I`ll do all the work for you,you simply place the bets and pick up winnings its that simple!!

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Football Confidential

"footballs best kept secret"

Free Tips And Hints For Better Betting

If you are serious about making money from betting on football matches or any other sport you must always set aside a seperate amount of money that you can afford to lose. This is called a betting bank.

I aways advise to set an amount the same as your weekly wage so that if you lose the lot it is not a total disaster and you can start again. Some pro-gamblers even have two or three betting banks just for such emergencies.

As you start winning and your betting bank slowly increases then you can increase your stakes. There are many types of staking plans that professional gamblers use and i will go more into detail of these in future blogs. If you would like any free advice about betting go to my website at www.bet-confidential.co.uk where you can contact me.